Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$1.0K
99 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 33 traders
FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $14.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$12+1 new NO$16
$17 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $3·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+134.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$22(+44.5%)
Whales
4
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 72¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $20 · WR 85.9%
S
Scholarly-Trade🥈
Entry 50¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $14 · WR 70.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 86.0%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 86.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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