Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$2.3K
149 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 51 traders
FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $14.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$20
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-52.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$92
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+34.1%)
Whales
8
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 65¢·40 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $26 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 88.2%
S
Satisfied-Shoehorn-Blast🥉
Entry 50¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $14 · WR 83.4%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 85.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 56¢·13.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·15 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 79.2%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 50¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6 · WR 80.3%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 86.1%
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