Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 15%-18%?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$328
40 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 24 traders
FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $14.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$17
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-87.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
85.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$65(+104.1%)
Whales
6
Q
Quirky-Timber-Reform🥇
Entry 50¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $14 · WR 92.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $14 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $12 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 89.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 85.7%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 14¢·20 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $3 · WR 60.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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