Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$1.8K
60 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 46 traders
AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs6 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $220 is directional: YES $0·NO $220YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$295
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$32(-10.8%)
Whales
6
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·220 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $220 · WR 60.7%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 99¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $40 · WR 87.6%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise🥉
Entry 91¢·18 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $16 · WR 81.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 86.1%
A
All-Decrease-Harvest
Entry 97¢·9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 81.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 97¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 66.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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