Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$5.5K
192 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 77 traders
AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%
+1 new YES$10+1 new NO$2
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $36 is directional: YES $36·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$85
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$139(+163.8%)
Whales
3
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged
Entry 21¢·178.6 shares·also $129 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $38 · WR 79.2%
M
mantou11🥈
Entry 15¢·242 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $36 · WR 56.3%
D
deepervalue🥉
Entry 86¢·12 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 76.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$175
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$57(-32.6%)
Whales
4
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged
Entry 72¢·178.5 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$129
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $129 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 84¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $33 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 86.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 86¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 66.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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