Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.3K
117 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 64 traders
AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
56.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-88.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$74
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+15.3%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 85¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $34 · WR 87.6%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca🥈
Entry 85¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 72.4%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.1%
V
Vicious-Wannabe
Entry 83¢·9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 81.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 83¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 66.7%
K
kjfghxd
Entry 77¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 85.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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