Politics2 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$17.5K
580 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 99 traders · 1 on both sides
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $43.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$599+27 new NO$2.3K
$566 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $740 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $62·NO $678YES Team
Total Invested
$373
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$162(-43.4%)
Whales
6
M
mrworldwide🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·337.6 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$285
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $285 · WR 76.9%
J
johnashbough◆Proven🥈
Entry 31¢·200 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $62 · WR 56.6%
C
cloverpmq2🥉
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $16 · WR 55.6%
E
e46m3hedged
Entry 11¢·82 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $9 · WR 79.6%
F
Flobzzitohedged
Entry 26¢·7 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 63.3%
H
hadarhaddadhedged
Entry 22¢·0.5 shares·also $662 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$977
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-1.2%)
Whales
14
H
hadarhaddad🥇hedged
Entry 77¢·860.6 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$662
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $662 · WR 76.8%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 79¢·120.2 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $95 · WR 88.0%
L
liikujyfh🥉
Entry 77¢·86 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $66 · WR 76.8%
M
mrworldwidehedged
Entry 16¢·210.3 shares·also $285 on YES
Invested
$34
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $34 · WR 76.9%
E
e46m3hedged
Entry 79¢·32.8 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $26 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 78¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $23 · WR 72.0%
C
C.PM
Entry 78¢·25 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 86.0%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 74¢·14.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 79.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 86.1%
A
anothercoin
Entry 78¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 86.2%
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