Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$11.6K
313 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 106 traders
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $43.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs14 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$165+8 new NO$440
$234 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $41 is directional: YES $1·NO $40YES Team
Total Invested
$345
Avg Win Rate
56.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$247(-71.5%)
Whales
3
T
thanksforplayin🥇hedged
Entry 75¢·435 shares·also $114 on NO
Invested
$325
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-232
$-232INV $325 · WR 55.6%
I
i2dt🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·20 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $19 · WR 70.1%
C
coypu🥉
Entry 28¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 74.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$616
Avg Win Rate
80.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$351(+56.9%)
Whales
14
A
0xa24d776f...🥇
Entry 52¢·453.3 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $236 · WR 88.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 79¢·167.6 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $133 · WR 88.0%
T
thanksforplayin🥉hedged
Entry 26¢·435 shares·also $325 on YES
Invested
$114
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $114 · WR 55.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 60¢·37 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $22 · WR 86.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 73¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $22 · WR 72.0%
C
Car
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 65.0%
I
i2dthedged
Entry 88¢·20 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 70.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 86.2%
F
flexibleagedbeef
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 75.0%
A
anothercoin
Entry 74¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.2%
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