Economics39 days left
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$45.0K
1,371 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 231 traders
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
7 MARKETS · $128.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+30¢$7.0K7/16by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+30¢0¢
$7.0K7/16
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+20¢$12.2K6/24by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+20¢0¢
$12.2K6/24
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
83¢−43¢$43.6K27/41No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−43¢83¢
$43.6K27/41
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting←
16¢+9¢$45.0K15/45by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting←+9¢16¢
$45.0K15/45
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+11¢$20.4K4/30by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+11¢1¢
$20.4K4/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs45 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$159+24 new NO$973
$96 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $479·NO $887YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$843(-53.7%)
Whales
15
V
vino1234🥇hedged
Entry 108¢·447.8 shares·also $80 on NO
Invested
$482
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-410
$-410INV $482 · WR 62.1%
W
Warren-Buffett🥈
Entry 23¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$460
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-150
$-150INV $460 · WR 66.0%
F
firegold🥉
Entry 44¢·636.4 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $282 · WR 60.1%
P
podairpodhedged
Entry 89¢·115.3 shares·also $95 on NO
Invested
$103
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $103 · WR 60.3%
S
Shy-Notehedged
Entry 62¢·150 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$94
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $94 · WR 58.5%
A
AMike
Entry 14¢·181.9 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $25 · WR 60.0%
T
tinman2
Entry 14¢·100 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 66.4%
J
JordanMooney
Entry 5¢·109.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $5 · WR 86.5%
Showing top 8 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.4K
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$692(+12.8%)
Whales
45
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 82¢·967.3 shares
Invested
$789
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $789 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 70¢·998.4 shares
Invested
$695
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $695 · WR 85.8%
Q
QMG-MACRO🥉
Entry 81¢·644.7 shares
Invested
$522
Win Rate
89.9%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $522 · WR 89.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 77¢·595.4 shares
Invested
$457
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $457 · WR 89.4%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 83¢·391 shares
Invested
$325
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $325 · WR 88.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 71¢·305.9 shares
Invested
$216
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $216 · WR 79.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 77¢·279.9 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $215 · WR 71.9%
H
highstakebet
Entry 68¢·256 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $175 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 58¢·296 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $172 · WR 87.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 79¢·211.2 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $166 · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 45
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