GeopoliticsResolved
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
YES Price
0Ā¢
0% implied
NO Price
100Ā¢
100% implied
Volume
$7.5K
116 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 71 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31?
2 MARKETS Ā· $7.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars Ā· 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $270 is directional: YES $62Ā·NO $208YES Team
Total Invested
$62
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$62(-99.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
89.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.1K(+94.1%)
Whales
9
A
Ahpoš„
Entry 50¢·2,224 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$1112
+$1112INV $1.1K Ā· WR 92.2%
N
nedstaš„
Entry 50¢·1,760.4 shares
Invested
$880
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$880
+$880INV $880 Ā· WR 87.8%
E
enaichš„
Entry 99¢·105.2 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $104 Ā· WR 73.0%
C
create6666
Entry 98¢·50 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
97.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $49 Ā· WR 97.2%
D
donaldmonkey
Entry 95¢·50 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $48 Ā· WR 88.3%
B
BetterFishāProven
Entry 100¢·30.6 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 Ā· WR 70.2%
S
Secondary-Shock
Entry 97¢·7.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 Ā· WR 72.2%
D
DonPanic
Entry 10¢·64 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $6 Ā· WR 67.7%
J
jonatasmend
Entry 7¢·60 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $4 Ā· WR 83.6%
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