Geopolitics89 days left
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$602.2K
2,358 trades
Smart Whales
119
of 526 traders · 1 on both sides
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
2 MARKETS · $766.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs100 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 84 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$1.4K+19 new NO$18.2K
$249 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $88.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $8.0K·NO $80.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$10.6K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$969(-9.2%)
Whales
20
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven🥇
Entry 7¢·114,109.7 shares
Invested
$7.6K
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$958
+$958INV $7.6K · WR 65.4%
L
LulaVaiPerder🥈
Entry 94¢·2,287.2 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-1986
$-1986INV $2.2K · WR 76.7%
J
justT🥉
Entry 7¢·3,243.9 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $227 · WR 63.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 6¢·3,376.1 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$194
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $194 · WR 57.8%
C
Ccc
Entry 13¢·480.1 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $61 · WR 59.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 6¢·974.1 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $58 · WR 55.3%
S
SDODNDPD
Entry 13¢·76.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 73.7%
G
Goal100usdt
Entry 8¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 62.9%
K
kakapo99
Entry 15¢·6.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 64.9%
M
mad4xhedged
Entry 6¢·1 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$86.1K
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+0.0%)
Whales
100
M
MrNoItAll🥇
Entry 93¢·18,769.3 shares
Invested
$17.5K
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
$-133
$-133INV $17.5K · WR 90.4%
C
charlatta🥈
Entry 93¢·18,000 shares
Invested
$16.8K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-150
$-150INV $16.8K · WR 87.0%
K
kevtp🥉
Entry 93¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$9.3K
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $9.3K · WR 81.0%
A
aviato
Entry 92¢·6,813.7 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $6.3K · WR 91.1%
T
Talophex
Entry 92¢·6,359.1 shares
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $5.9K · WR 92.0%
A
Avamax
Entry 92¢·4,298.9 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4.0K · WR 79.5%
A
AyatollahDollar
Entry 91¢·3,484.4 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $3.2K · WR 82.5%
C
chartreuseverte
Entry 91¢·3,360 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $3.1K · WR 87.3%
H
Hnessen
Entry 91¢·2,878.8 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $2.6K · WR 67.8%
V
VortexTrading
Entry 93¢·1,300 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $1.2K · WR 83.5%
Showing top 10 of 100
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