Tech/AI65 days left
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$21.2K
1,066 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 197 traders
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
4 MARKETS · $118.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher
25¢+38¢$17.5K15/9Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher+38¢25¢
$17.5K15/9
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher←
25¢+29¢$21.2K15/13Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher←+29¢25¢
$21.2K15/13
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Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs13 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$11+7 new NO$70
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $205 is directional: YES $70·NO $136YES Team
Total Invested
$789
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$274(-34.7%)
Whales
15
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 66¢·309.9 shares·also $367 on NO
Invested
$205
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $205 · WR 58.5%
N
NoTeacher🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·183.5 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$155
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $155 · WR 58.0%
H
hitunfar🥉hedged
Entry 27¢·513.5 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$138
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $138 · WR 59.1%
L
lamykhedged
Entry 22¢·432.3 shares·also $346 on NO
Invested
$94
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $94 · WR 57.7%
S
SnapElectionAvoiderhedged
Entry 97¢·65 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$63
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $63 · WR 63.0%
H
hithitfar
Entry 34¢·123.5 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $42 · WR 59.8%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 13¢·182 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $23 · WR 56.6%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 52¢·37.4 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $19 · WR 63.3%
D
Dragontreehedged
Entry 80¢·20 shares·also $61 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $16 · WR 67.5%
J
just-bettor
Entry 33¢·18 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 56.0%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$310(+28.7%)
Whales
13
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 124¢·297.3 shares·also $205 on YES
Invested
$367
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $367 · WR 58.5%
L
lamyk🥈hedged
Entry 80¢·432.3 shares·also $94 on YES
Invested
$346
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $346 · WR 57.7%
I
iutwpfal🥉
Entry 33¢·241.7 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $81 · WR 73.9%
D
Dragontreehedged
Entry 304¢·20 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$61
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $61 · WR 67.5%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven
Entry 28¢·140 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $39 · WR 79.3%
S
SnapElectionAvoiderhedged
Entry 8¢·351.6 shares·also $63 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $28 · WR 63.0%
H
hitunfarhedged
Entry 56¢·38 shares·also $138 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $21 · WR 59.1%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 18¢·110.6 shares·also $155 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $20 · WR 58.0%
T
title1◆Proven
Entry 16¢·105.5 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $16 · WR 55.5%
P
PerformSleepStatehedged
Entry 152¢·4.5 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 55.4%
Showing top 10 of 13
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