Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$85.2K
672 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 155 traders
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
8 MARKETS · $404.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs12 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $864·NO $475YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+116.0%)
Whales
9
C
Cattail◆Proven🥇
Entry 54¢·1,445.8 shares
Invested
$786
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$659
+$659INV $786 · WR 66.7%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 54¢·998.8 shares
Invested
$536
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$463
+$463INV $536 · WR 65.8%
R
Robbb🥉hedged
Entry 6¢·561 shares·also $595 on NO
Invested
$35
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$526
+$526INV $35 · WR 81.3%
U
Unnatural-Insulation
Entry 77¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $31 · WR 57.8%
B
big-bird1
Entry 83¢·33 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $27 · WR 68.6%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 47¢·49.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $23 · WR 74.2%
L
lottonakamotohedged
Entry 84¢·24.2 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $20 · WR 69.9%
W
Weekly-Can
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 62.8%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7
Entry 45¢·20.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $9 · WR 58.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-100.0%)
Whales
12
T
Trading4Fridge🥇
Entry 52¢·3,239.2 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-1687
$-1687INV $1.7K · WR 57.4%
R
Robbb🥈hedged
Entry 106¢·561 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$595
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-595
$-595INV $595 · WR 81.3%
I
ineedmassage🥉
Entry 23¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$272
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-271
$-271INV $272 · WR 68.1%
S
Success18
Entry 73¢·201.3 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-146
$-146INV $146 · WR 57.4%
C
Carpfisher
Entry 12¢·1,076 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $134 · WR 59.4%
Q
QuarterlyComeback
Entry 68¢·73.5 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 65.6%
L
lottonakamotohedged
Entry 50¢·24.2 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 69.9%
T
Te0n2
Entry 50¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 66.9%
A
Amazing-Accommodation
Entry 43¢·25 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 86.0%
G
Good-Birdwatcher
Entry 43¢·9.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 71.6%
Showing top 10 of 12
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