Geopolitics75 days left

Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$11.5K
335 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 105 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs6 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$179+9 new NO$329
$100 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $816 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $78·NO $736

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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