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GeopoliticsResolved

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$73.4K
970 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 260 traders · 1 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

5 MARKETS · $266.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

18 YESvs46 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 33 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $8.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $6.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.2K(-92.1%)
Whales
18
W
whig🥇hedged
Entry 26¢·5,291.8 shares·also $1.6K on NO
$-1361INV $1.4K · WR 63.1%
C
controlsProven🥈
Entry 11¢·4,823.1 shares
$-536INV $536 · WR 72.2%
G
Gladius7🥉
Entry 71¢·705.7 shares
$-504INV $504 · WR 57.8%
P
Porx
Entry 7¢·6,726.3 shares
$-475INV $475 · WR 65.9%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 7¢·2,901.2 shares
$-187INV $203 · WR 69.8%
E
ED99999
Entry 26¢·410 shares
$-107INV $107 · WR 73.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 21¢·95.5 shares
$-19INV $20 · WR 68.2%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 5¢·300 shares
$-13INV $15 · WR 64.4%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 8¢·149.4 shares
$-11INV $12 · WR 55.4%
I
i2izzzs
Entry 34¢·5.5 shares
$-2INV $2 · WR 60.9%
Showing top 10 of 18

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 28% YES: Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic…