saikederiku · Polymarket wallet 0x7a8d…262f

Wallet snapshot

saikederiku has made 126 trades on Polymarket across 33 markets, $19K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (85%) and crypto (6%). On 24 resolved markets the win rate is 70.8%, lifetime P&L +$1,099. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No · $290 · 79¢ → 87¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $45 · 82¢ → 74¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?No · +$14 · Oct 1, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No · +$33 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?No · +$28 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No · +$227 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · +$233 · Sep 12, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No · +$176 · Sep 12, 2026
• Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No · +$24 · Sep 12, 2026
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No · +$26 · Aug 16, 2026
• Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No · -$2 · Aug 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.