83 days left
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES Price
38ยข
38% implied
NO Price
62ยข
62% implied
Volume
$75.2K
1,567 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 261 traders
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
6 MARKETS ยท $150.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0ยข+56ยข$2.7K5/4Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026+56ยข0ยข
$2.7K5/4
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026โ
38ยขโ22ยข$75.2K7/37Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026โโ22ยข38ยข
$75.2K7/37
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0ยข+78ยข$4827/2Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026+78ยข0ยข
$4827/2
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026
62ยขโ28ยข$64.2K21/40Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026โ28ยข62ยข
$64.2K21/40
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs38 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars ยท 4 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%ยท net of hedges
+10 new YES$638+16 new NO$950
$139 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers โ left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $2.5K is directional: YES $842ยทNO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$8.1K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-28.4%)
Whales
7
O
Orioncast๐ฅhedged
Entry 66ยขยท7,870 sharesยทalso $2.3K on NO
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-2234
$-2234INV $5.2K ยท WR 62.5%
I
ImJustKen๐ฅhedged
Entry 33ยขยท5,000 sharesยทalso $3.3K on NO
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$250
+$250INV $1.6K ยท WR 61.3%
A
Annihilation๐ฅ
Entry 53ยขยท1,402.3 shares
Invested
$747
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-221
$-221INV $747 ยท WR 64.9%
C
chaosj88โProven
Entry 51ยขยท806.3 shares
Invested
$411
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $411 ยท WR 86.8%
C
chonkychick
Entry 41ยขยท212.5 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $88 ยท WR 69.2%
E
Euphy
Entry 18ยขยท38.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $7 ยท WR 75.8%
S
Skabr
Entry 35ยขยท3.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 ยท WR 69.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.9K
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+19.7%)
Whales
38
I
ImJustKen๐ฅhedged
Entry 66ยขยท5,000 sharesยทalso $1.6K on YES
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $3.3K ยท WR 61.3%
O
Orioncast๐ฅhedged
Entry 32ยขยท7,085.1 sharesยทalso $5.2K on YES
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$2101
+$2101INV $2.3K ยท WR 62.5%
K
korda77๐ฅ
Entry 54ยขยท1,859 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$147
+$147INV $1.0K ยท WR 85.2%
M
merod
Entry 56ยขยท1,422 shares
Invested
$803
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $803 ยท WR 83.9%
T
Tenebrus7โProven
Entry 59ยขยท1,060 shares
Invested
$627
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $627 ยท WR 74.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 56ยขยท933.3 shares
Invested
$521
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $521 ยท WR 87.6%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 66ยขยท750 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $495 ยท WR 65.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 58ยขยท820 shares
Invested
$472
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $472 ยท WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 64ยขยท435.6 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $279 ยท WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 61ยขยท389.1 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $237 ยท WR 79.6%
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