Economics37 days left
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$36.3K
1,820 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 224 traders
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
5 MARKETS · $89.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+13¢$14.8K4/26by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement+13¢0¢
$14.8K4/26
by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+42¢$4.1K8/11by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement+42¢0¢
$4.1K8/11
by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement
38¢−5¢$23.3K16/32by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement−5¢38¢
$23.3K16/32
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs36 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$32+7 new NO$41
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.1K is directional: YES $7.9K·NO $258YES Team
Total Invested
$7.9K
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-25.3%)
Whales
17
F
firegold🥇
Entry 84¢·5,112.2 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-1115
$-1115INV $4.3K · WR 60.1%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 87¢·2,796 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-689
$-689INV $2.4K · WR 60.3%
A
AMike🥉
Entry 85¢·601.5 shares
Invested
$510
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $510 · WR 60.0%
A
ASBets
Entry 68¢·446.6 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $305 · WR 58.8%
G
Gummy-Casserole
Entry 66¢·220 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $146 · WR 74.4%
F
FreeCityIndividual
Entry 88¢·110.7 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $98 · WR 63.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 96¢·61.8 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $59 · WR 68.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 87¢·33.3 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $29 · WR 68.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 21¢·77.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $16 · WR 79.5%
S
spacexstar
Entry 89¢·15 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $13 · WR 67.6%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.3K
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$270(+6.3%)
Whales
36
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 44¢·2,232.3 shares
Invested
$978
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-131
$-131INV $978 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 46¢·1,132 shares
Invested
$524
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $524 · WR 85.0%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 42¢·893.6 shares
Invested
$371
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $371 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·735.8 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $366 · WR 79.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 46¢·653.1 shares
Invested
$301
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $301 · WR 78.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 47¢·610 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $289 · WR 85.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 78¢·259.1 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $203 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 16¢·644.3 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$143
+$143INV $101 · WR 87.5%
C
Careful-Bunch
Entry 36¢·261.8 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $95 · WR 55.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 13¢·711 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$176
+$176INV $94 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 36
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