Geopolitics89 days left

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$52.7K
909 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 225 traders

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs32 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 22 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$30+5 new NO$1.0K
$58 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18.1K is directional: YES $2.6K·NO $15.5K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka…