Geopolitics61 days left
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$55.2K
2,127 trades
Smart Whales
43
of 219 traders
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs31 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 27 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$26+5 new NO$138
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.6K is directional: YES $347·NO $5.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$916
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$609(-66.5%)
Whales
12
C
Car🥇hedged
Entry 77¢·625.1 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$483
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-411
$-411INV $483 · WR 65.0%
T
Threadbare-Signal🥈
Entry 19¢·808.1 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $157 · WR 60.2%
G
goatboss🥉
Entry 20¢·774.5 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $151 · WR 57.7%
B
boligendanhedged
Entry 77¢·58.8 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$45
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $45 · WR 66.6%
B
Bravo414
Entry 30¢·56.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $17 · WR 64.5%
J
jkbasfvpbaef
Entry 15¢·97.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $15 · WR 87.4%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 8¢·32.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 63.5%
L
lottonakamoto
Entry 11¢·20.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 69.6%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 22¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 78.9%
P
purebaby
Entry 8¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.3%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$810(+15.3%)
Whales
31
T
TronOG🥇
Entry 82¢·3,272.7 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$311
+$311INV $2.7K · WR 77.7%
G
Grand-Restoration🥈
Entry 83¢·1,188.2 shares
Invested
$989
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $989 · WR 71.4%
G
groth◆Proven🥉
Entry 77¢·753.3 shares
Invested
$580
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $580 · WR 65.0%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 78¢·300 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $234 · WR 63.5%
W
Wowiwow◆Proven
Entry 90¢·130 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $117 · WR 83.9%
L
lionsever
Entry 88¢·130 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $114 · WR 91.4%
C
Carhedged
Entry 16¢·326.1 shares·also $483 on YES
Invested
$51
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$238
+$238INV $51 · WR 65.0%
M
mentionu
Entry 93¢·50 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $47 · WR 87.2%
D
dayset
Entry 93¢·50 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
92.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $47 · WR 92.8%
B
baby009
Entry 87¢·50 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $44 · WR 90.0%
Showing top 10 of 31
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