lionsever · Polymarket wallet 0x896d…67d6

Wallet snapshot

lionsever has made 417 trades on Polymarket across 178 markets, $27K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (33%) and geopolitics (23%). On 174 resolved markets the win rate is 92%, lifetime P&L +$304. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $482 · 50¢ → 64¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $277 · 50¢ → 37¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No · $120 · 88¢ → 93¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No · $119 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $71 · 55¢ → 66¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $48 · 94¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 15?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.