Geopolitics61 days left

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$464.2K
1,905 trades
Smart Whales
108
of 650 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

38 YESvs71 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 62 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$30+9 new NO$2.5K
$49 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $185.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $804·NO $185.0K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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