keribit · Polymarket wallet 0xc9dc…9026

Wallet snapshot

keribit has made 22,037 trades on Polymarket across 483 markets, $7.6M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (43%) and crypto (20%). On 467 resolved markets the win rate is 80.3%, lifetime P&L +$107K. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $97K · 90¢ → 98¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $58K · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No · $28K · 92¢ → 95¢
• Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No · $20K · 93¢ → 97¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No · $8,676 · 97¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$1,215 · Oct 9, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$150 · Sep 29, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · +$521 · Sep 26, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No · +$105 · Sep 14, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No · +$954 · Sep 6, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$95 · Sep 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No · +$125 · Sep 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.