YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$79.0K
845 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 138 traders
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
8 MARKETS · $351.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs24 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$648+7 new NO$1.7K
$94 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $339·NO $2.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$461
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$64(+13.9%)
Whales
8
D
DancewithRisk🥇
Entry 17¢·1,414.2 shares
Invested
$247
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $247 · WR 66.1%
M
Majas🥈
Entry 62¢·100 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $62 · WR 67.4%
D
DerDon◆Proven🥉
Entry 19¢·300 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $56 · WR 56.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 10¢·405.6 shares·also $321 on NO
Invested
$42
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $42 · WR 55.3%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 12¢·220 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $27 · WR 56.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 13¢·44.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6 · WR 79.6%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 27¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 67.2%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$87(+2.4%)
Whales
24
T
ThanksGivingTurkey1001🥇
Entry 91¢·1,944.8 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-219
$-219INV $1.8K · WR 69.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 62¢·962.2 shares
Invested
$599
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$166
+$166INV $599 · WR 85.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 79¢·405.6 shares·also $42 on YES
Invested
$321
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $321 · WR 55.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 82¢·204 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $167 · WR 79.6%
J
Jesetrading
Entry 87¢·170 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $148 · WR 67.3%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 88¢·156 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $137 · WR 83.8%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·233.8 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $117 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 66¢·160 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $105 · WR 86.0%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 50¢·98 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $49 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 83¢·49 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $41 · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 24
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