🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Economics57 days left

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$53.6K
1,061 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 210 traders

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

14 MARKETS · $401.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs19 NO
35%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$19+1 new NO$49
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12.6K is directional: YES $2.2K·NO $10.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-91.4%)
Whales
10
C
Copezilla🥇
Entry 62¢·3,361.2 shares
$-1916INV $2.1K · WR 70.4%
S
Sardonic-CueProven🥈
Entry 100¢·200 shares
$-189INV $200 · WR 79.0%
M
Milin-dc🥉hedged
Entry 69¢·50 shares·also $13 on NO
$-32INV $35 · WR 60.7%
B
0xbd848c80...
Entry 59¢·34.1 shares
$-18INV $20 · WR 57.7%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 49¢·36.6 shares
$-16INV $18 · WR 67.3%
9
9df
Entry 29¢·45 shares
$-11INV $13 · WR 57.3%
I
IrthBirthhedged
Entry 54¢·13 shares·also $6 on NO
$-6INV $7 · WR 57.3%
X
Xixihaha008
Entry 60¢·7 shares
$-4INV $4 · WR 56.9%
E
elevatedentropy
Entry 48¢·6.2 shares
$-3INV $3 · WR 55.6%
Showing top 9 of 10

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 132ms
Smart money 35% YES: S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW)…