nocturne481 · Polymarket wallet 0x504d…dae8

Wallet snapshot

nocturne481 has made 845 trades on Polymarket across 118 markets, $73K in volume. Most of it is in economics (47%) and crypto (14%). On 106 resolved markets the win rate is 85.8%, lifetime P&L +$1,292. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2,020 · 65¢ → 42¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?No · $1,452 · 92¢ → 95¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $656 · 50¢ → 23¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No · $420 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $184 · 76¢ → 81¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $34 · 60¢ → 69¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?No · $29 · 81¢ → 96¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $28 · 85¢ → 87¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · +$16 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in October?No · +$7 · Oct 30, 2026
• Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October?Yes · +$5 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?No · +$8 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No · +$3 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?No · +$27 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?No · +$1 · Sep 30, 2026

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