Geopolitics89 days left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

YES Price
4ยข
4% implied
NO Price
96ยข
96% implied
Volume
$639.0K
8,253 trades
Smart Whales
261
of 1,665 traders ยท 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

87 YESvs175 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars ยท 7 YES vs 101 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+1 new YES$5+4 new NO$177
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$1 of $72.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $235ยทNO $72.5K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leaderโ€ฆ