Geopolitics60 days left

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$274.7K
3,068 trades
Smart Whales
123
of 823 traders

Smart Money Consensus

53 YESvs70 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 38 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$18+6 new NO$475
$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $31.8K is directional: YES $3.0K·NO $28.8K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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