manekineko · Polymarket wallet 0x6606…1338

Wallet snapshot

manekineko has made 11,148 trades on Polymarket across 541 markets, $11M in volume. Most of it is in crypto (29%) and politics (26%). On 498 resolved markets the win rate is 83.3%, lifetime P&L +$83K. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $38K · 92¢ → 95¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $29K · 93¢ → 96¢
• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $21K · 63¢ → 59¢
• Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes · $13K · 76¢ → 73¢
• Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No · $12K · 79¢ → 93¢
• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · $11K · 85¢ → 87¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $4,873 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $4,525 · 92¢ → 91¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $4,375 · 85¢ → 88¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $3,525 · 64¢ → 71¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · -$389 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes · +$45 · Oct 13, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · +$1,370 · Oct 7, 2026
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · +$100 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$475 · Oct 7, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · -$98 · Oct 7, 2026
• Trump out as President by September 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.