Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ÂșC and 1.04ÂșC in January 2026?
YES Price
0Âą
0% implied
NO Price
100Âą
100% implied
Volume
$195.6K
2,704 trades
Smart Whales
72
of 651 traders
January 2026 Temperature Increase (ÂșC)
7 MARKETS · $197.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.00ÂșC and 1.04ÂșC in January 2026â
0Âą+22Âą$195.6K16/56by between 1.00ÂșC and 1.04ÂșC in January 2026â+22Âą0Âą
$195.6K16/56
by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026
5Âąâ5Âą$1.1K0/2by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026â5Âą5Âą
$1.1K0/2
by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026
23Âąâ23Âą$1640/1by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026â23Âą23Âą
$1640/1
by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026
29Âąâ$50/0by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026â29Âą
$50/0
by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026
44Âąâ$950/0by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026â44Âą
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs56 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h â no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$657
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$477(-72.7%)
Whales
16
D
Drunken-Mentatđ„hedged
Entry 90¹·292.5 shares·also $65 on NO
Invested
$263
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-263
$-263INV $263 · WR 75.4%
R
Rr55âProvenđ„
Entry 23¹·585.6 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-136
$-136INV $136 · WR 73.2%
V
Varyagđ„
Entry 51¹·150 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $77 · WR 69.0%
T
tgubkh
Entry 2¹·148 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 64.4%
X
xavierokchan
Entry 0¹·100 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 67.9%
Showing top 5 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
84.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$25.1K(+503.0%)
Whales
56
R
ratedđ„
Entry 26¹·6,134.4 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4559
+$4559INV $1.6K · WR 87.7%
I
influenz.ethđ„
Entry 9¹·14,554.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$13290
+$13290INV $1.3K · WR 85.8%
A
arjennnnnđ„
Entry 99¹·500 shares
Invested
$494
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $494 · WR 87.5%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 16¹·2,233 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1883
+$1883INV $350 · WR 87.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 33¹·900 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$605
+$605INV $295 · WR 57.7%
M
melganisâProven
Entry 97¹·300 shares
Invested
$290
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $290 · WR 75.9%
P
paspor
Entry 8¹·1,637.3 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1503
+$1503INV $134 · WR 85.8%
P
products
Entry 12¹·981.5 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$868
+$868INV $113 · WR 86.6%
D
Drunken-Mentathedged
Entry 22¹·292.5 shares·also $263 on YES
Invested
$65
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $65 · WR 75.4%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 2¹·461.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$452
+$452INV $10 · WR 83.8%
Showing top 10 of 56
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