Dota 2PGL · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Aurora

Aurora2-0GamerLegion

PGL · Playoffs· Sep 24, 2026 · 13:00–15:13 UTC· 2h 13m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$2.5M
Trades
12,301
Significant
94 ≥ $3,760
Low · high
70¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Aurora · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · AuroraG1G2 · AuroraG270¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 14:47$4.6K YES · yishiwuchengSMART98%97% Aurora13:0015:13 resolved
smart consensus leaned AUR from G1 at 79¢ · 98% → 97%
G1Aurora78¢ → 92¢$646.4K
G2Aurora92¢ → 99.9¢$465.0K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first18
WALL EATEN73¢ · $43.8K bid wall gone in 29s$41.6K eatenmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:0x676c…e139+3 more on the same level· 98% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $21.9K· Skritopoolniy $4.1K· Nervous-Parallelogram $2.6K· +22 more· 30 fills
WALL EATEN99.9¢ · $29.0K ask wall gone in 15s$12.5K eaten · $8.9K pulled · $7.6K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:TLking+8 more on the same level· 88% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· ribalka $10.5K· owlgorithm-beta $2.1K· +3 more· 15 fills
WALL EATEN78¢ · $21.5K bid wall gone instantly$17.4K eaten · $4.1K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:ojgtubvdtsmart+6 more on the same level· 45% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Uniform123 $17.4K· 7 fills
WALL EATEN99¢ · $19.3K ask wall gone in 17s$10.0K eaten · $5.8K pulled · $3.5K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:ribalkasmart+11 more on the same level· 98% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· pipipi150 $8.8K· GameGambleStakes $668· FishingCake $371· +8 more· 26 fills
WALL EATEN77¢ · $19.0K bid wall gone instantly$9.4K eaten · $9.6K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:tyoprkg+8 more on the same level· 81% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· CORGI8 $9.4K· 9 fills
WALL EATEN58¢ · $18.3K bid wall gone in 44s$13.6K eaten · $4.7K pulledmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:0x676c…e139+1 more on the same level· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $12.7K· 0x28ab…d5bf $600· RandomGameBet $205· +1 more· 7 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Aurora buy ≥ $1K · by time21 wallets
1darkumbreon880x0235…cee5retail+$323
$1.1K at 78¢· pre-match · 19h 4m before· win rate 64.4%
2TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail+$2.1K
$7.9K at 79¢· pre-match · 16h 19m before· win rate 63.1%
3antec0x8935…7daaretail−$186
$4.6K at 86¢· pre-match · 11h 23m before· win rate 50.6%
4keris70x2f62…dd4dretail+$2.6K
$8.1K at 76¢· pre-match · 5h 53m before· win rate 57.6%
59999996665443325788556677880x85fb…89baretail+$1.1K
$3.9K at 77¢· pre-match · 2h 51m before· win rate 58.0%
6a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$6
$1.0K at 83¢· pre-match · 1h 1m before· win rate 35.4%
7NeverLoseBet0x3990…3401whale+$7
$1.4K at 77¢· pre-match · 54m before· win rate 49.6%
8tyoprkg0x1f4b…5345smart+$4.5K
$15.5K at 78¢· pre-match · 19m before· win rate 66.3%
9SemsBree0xc3a1…d643smart+$1.5K
$5.0K at 78¢· pre-match · 15m before· win rate 79.3%
10ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart+$2.2K
$7.8K at 78¢· pre-match · 15m before· win rate 63.3%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 198 wallets
Top winners
tyoprkg0x1f4b…5345smart+$4.5K
keris70x2f62…dd4dretail+$2.6K
ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart+$2.2K
TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail+$2.1K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing0x9e3e…f882whale+$1.9K
Top losers
maxoveral000x5f0e…7397retail−$1.7K
beeepbeep0x2316…9819retail−$828
BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail−$594
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$367
ethanHY0xda62…b0e8retail−$330
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): yishiwucheng, aaaa298, ameisgoat11, CORGI8 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution86 wallets
97%YES Aurora · the winner· from 98% at match start
YES capital
$237.9K
NO capital
$50.8K
Hedged
$36.4K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 94 TRADES ≥ $3,760 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$21.9K
sell YES73¢map 113:14:17whale
win rate 48.8%lifetime −$1.29M
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$12.7K
sell YES58¢map 113:18:16whale
win rate 48.8%lifetime −$1.29M
GEAEW0x88c3…bea3$12.2K
YES66¢map 214:20:36smart
win rate 60.8%lifetime +$150.5K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$11.9K
YES73¢map 113:11:38smart
win rate 58.4%lifetime +$527.6K
sell YES72¢map 213:58:41whale
win rate 49.7%lifetime +$3.95M
YES57¢map 113:18:09whale
win rate unknownlifetime unknown
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$9.3K
NO50¢handicap12:47:03whale
win rate 41.6%lifetime +$194.1K
meoooow0xd202…8973$8.8K
YES73¢map 113:10:44retail
win rate 43.3%lifetime −$611.2K
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 →
Match markets32 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$307.1Kclosedmap 1Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$1.2Mclosedmap 2Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$832.9Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$817closedseries handicapGame Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$139.5Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$19closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$6closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$1closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / 0¢$1closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?50¢ / 50¢$0closed