Dota 2PGL · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · LGD Gaming

Natus Vincere1-2LGD Gaming

PGL · Playoffs· Sep 24, 2026 · 09:2012:38 UTC· 3h 18m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$3.4M
Trades
17,543
Significant
143 ≥ $1,863
Low · high
0.1¢ 86¢
Price path · full matchYES = Natus Vincere · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · LGD GamingG1G2 · Natus VincereG2G3 · LGD GamingG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · at 12:31$12.9K YES · Netrol$10.0K YES · Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling$9.5K YES · Favorable-Pepper-Brushing$9.0K NO · Sunshine.Smile$8.7K NO · Zywoo123$8.7K YES · brettfavre444SMART41%77% LGD Gaming09:2012:38 resolved
smart consensus leaned LGD from G2 at 67¢ · 41% → 77%
G1LGD Gaming67¢ 34¢$429.6K
G2Natus Vincere34¢ 57¢$417.0K
G3LGD Gaming57¢
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first19
WALL EATEN64¢ · $59.0K bid wall gone in 44s$25.9K eaten · $19.7K pulled · $13.5K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:0x676c…e139+9 more on the same level· 86% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· SineNooneEI $12.8K· catbusiness $3.6K· Bettong $2.3K· +16 more· 33 fills
WALL EATEN58¢ · $30.9K bid wall gone in 21s$17.1K eaten · $12.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x676c…e139· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Medo3D $6.1K· itachi-uchiha $4.2K· GeorgeRe $2.1K· +10 more· 21 fills
WALL EATEN55¢ · $23.7K ask wall gone in 29s$11.9K eaten · $6.0K pulled · $5.8K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:Harmless-Fatigues· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· catbusiness $2.9K· FvckMachine $2.1K· ahuenniybot $818· +45 more· 53 fills
WALL EATEN53¢ · $21.5K bid wall gone instantly$15.8K eaten · $1.6K pulled · $4.1K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Dota2winner· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· ribalka $15.8K· 2 fills
WALL EATEN59¢ · $19.1K ask wall gone in 66s$7.0K eaten · $8.2K pulled · $3.8K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:sofa88888+6 more on the same level· 74% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling $6.9K· +4 more· 11 fills
WALL EATEN56¢ · $18.8K ask wall gone in 45s$7.6K eaten · $5.6K pulled · $5.6K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:babonski+2 more on the same level· 66% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· kid817 $2.0K· Nervous-Parallelogram $2.0K· minji $949· +13 more· 18 fills
Who entered before the reversalLGD Gaming last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 69:58 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L98 wallets
1mythos1.80x21b7…c861retail+$6.8K
$3.5K at 33¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 36.3%
2gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9smart+$5.1K
$12.7K at 51¢· G3 · 23:56· win rate 68.7%
3Excentrico0x23cb…80d0smart+$4.8K
$2.9K at 36¢· G3 · 40:10· win rate 59.9%
4Skritopoolniy0xd06c…cdafretail+$4.6K
$3.0K at 40¢· G3 · 31:39· win rate 41.7%
5BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail+$3.4K
$1.6K at 32¢· pre-match · 28m before· win rate 49.5%
6Up0nly0x2687…1363smart+$2.8K
$3.7K at 51¢· G3 · 35:47· win rate 69.9%
7DotaBuff-Com0x60dd…40e5smart+$2.8K
$2.4K at 33¢· G3 · 50:34· win rate 56.5%
8Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail+$2.7K
$1.3K at 32¢· pre-match · 11m before· win rate 52.1%
9Dearest-Urge0xf201…527ewhale+$2.5K
$2.7K at 44¢· G3 · 48:01· win rate 54.4%
10palyanitsya0x85e9…2eeasmart+$1.4K
$822 at 37¢· G3 · 64:39· win rate 68.4%
Reversal = last time LGD Gaming traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 69:58). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 462 wallets
Top winners
mythos1.80x21b7…c861retail+$6.8K
Barbozaaa3210xc1de…21f5retail+$5.9K
gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9smart+$5.1K
Excentrico0x23cb…80d0smart+$4.8K
Skritopoolniy0xd06c…cdafretail+$4.6K
Top losers
Dota2winner0x3413…8ff2retail−$20.0K
TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail−$6.8K
1rerrr0x31a4…7afcretail−$6.2K
absurdus0x8918…7725retail−$5.5K
jackcartwright0x332f…1ee8retail−$4.6K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): GameGambleStakes, ribalka, whilwhile, yanedaniil +4
Smart consensus · at resolution288 wallets
77%NO LGD Gaming · the winner· from 41% at match start
YES capital
$893.5K
NO capital
$842.1K
Hedged
$246.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 143 TRADES ≥ $1,863 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$15.5K
YES65¢map 210:39:12smart
win rate 58.4%lifetime +$527.6K
Netrol0x23c8…f293$12.9K
YES55¢series11:37:54whale
win rate 41.6%lifetime $94.6K
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1$12.8K
sell YES64¢map 210:39:58retail
win rate 53.3%lifetime +$653.7K
Medo3D0x1550…5481$12.8K
sell YES64¢map 210:39:13hedger
win rate 38.7%lifetime +$44.8K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$11.9K
NO50¢map 109:35:31smart
win rate 58.4%lifetime +$527.6K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$11.8K
NO42¢map 210:34:05retail
win rate 41.6%lifetime +$194.1K
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$10.6K
sell YES53¢map 109:33:45whale
win rate 48.8%lifetime $1.29M
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$10.6K
NO43¢map 109:31:09smartwhale
win rate 58.7%lifetime +$790.5K
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026
Match markets34 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs / 100¢$1.7Mclosedmap 1Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner / 100¢$854.4Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner100¢ / $800.5Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / $10.4Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) / 100¢$1.6Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) / 100¢$9.6Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?100¢ / $300closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / $0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage? / 100¢$9closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?34¢ / 67¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?31¢ / 69¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?29¢ / 71¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?23¢ / 78¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?34¢ / 67¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?31¢ / 69¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?29¢ / 71¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?50¢ / 50¢$0closed
Natus Vincere 1-2 LGD Gaming · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer