Dota 2PGL · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Natus Vincere

Team Nemesis1-2Natus Vincere

PGL · Playoffs· Sep 25, 2026 · 07:00–10:26 UTC· 3h 26m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$2.7M
Trades
16,345
Significant
209 ≥ $1,820
Low · high
0.1¢ → 60¢
Price path · full matchYES = Team Nemesis · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · Team NemesisG1G2 · Natus VincereG2G3 · Natus VincereG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 10:19$25.5K NO · Diabolical-Prize$20.4K NO · Harmless-Fatigues$18.0K NO · Sunshine.Smile$13.8K NO · Sisyphus-$10.0K NO · Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling$6.3K YES · hff.SMART100%79% Natus Vincere07:0010:26 resolved
smart consensus leaned NAVI from 07:03 at 80¢ · 100% → 79%
G1Team Nemesis20¢ → 45¢$438.6K
G2Natus Vincere45¢ → 31¢$349.0K
G3Natus Vincere31¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first3
WALL EATEN28¢ · $14.0K ask wall gone in 15s$20.4K eaten · $4.0K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Diabolical-Prizewhale+2 more on the same level· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Harmless-Fatigues $20.4K· +2 more· 4 fills
WALL EATEN50¢ · $11.2K ask wall gone instantly$3.4K eaten · $7.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Dota2winner+5 more on the same level· 98% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· hff. $3.4K· 6 fills
WALL EATEN31¢ · $10.3K bid wall gone in 14s$5.4K eaten · $4.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x3990…3401+2 more on the same level· 93% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $3.4K· vibing123 $1.6K· huynu $186· +8 more· 31 fills
Who entered before the reversalNatus Vincere last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 52:15 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L26 wallets
1-Guapo--0x8725…eb10retail+$771
$2.2K at 65¢· G3 · 52:03· win rate 43.5%
2cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$441
$806 at 49¢· G3 · 52:03· win rate 59.8%
3iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$399
$12.3K at 69¢· G2 · 39:55· win rate 59.0%
4Jxtoas0xa9f5…937fretail+$326
$462 at 54¢· G3 · 52:03· win rate 46.2%
5pol21310x9aff…b136retail+$285
$191 at 40¢· G3 · 52:12· win rate 45.8%
6Juicy-Fawn0x0758…9532retail+$220
$376 at 44¢· G3 · 52:03· win rate 44.7%
748nico0x9b97…6084retail+$211
$398 at 57¢· G3 · 52:12· win rate 49.4%
8ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$171
$3.9K at 61¢· G2 · 40:19· win rate 47.4%
9Colala0x9cb3…1367smart+$97
$189 at 55¢· G3 · 52:03· win rate 55.8%
10DegenAcc50x08fa…f1e0retail+$64
$283 at 62¢· G2 · 40:47· win rate 50.3%
Reversal = last time Natus Vincere traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 52:15). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 358 wallets
Top winners
Dota2winner0x3413…8ff2retail+$17.5K
Medo3D0x1550…5481retail+$10.3K
Barbozaaa3210xc1de…21f5retail+$6.3K
Skritopoolniy0xd06c…cdafretail+$3.5K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09retail+$3.3K
Top losers
sofa888880xa103…1c14retail−$6.2K
Gooooooollllllllll0xda3a…381fretail−$5.6K
Uniform1230xe548…a9feretail−$2.6K
gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9smart−$2.6K
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429awhale−$2.2K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): GameGambleStakes, whilwhile, importedaccount, ameisgoat11 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution253 wallets
79%NO Natus Vincere · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$423.8K
NO capital
$663.0K
Hedged
$201.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 209 TRADES ≥ $1,820 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$25.5K
NO69¢series09:34:24whale
win rate 48.6%lifetime −$1.24M
Harmless-Fatigues0xe2d0…7bbf$20.4K
sell NO72¢series09:34:55whale
win rate 44.6%lifetime −$43.4K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$18.0K
NO72¢series09:34:36smartwhale
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$807.0K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$13.8K
NO75¢series09:35:48smart
win rate 58.5%lifetime +$625.2K
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$13.3K
NO74¢series09:35:39whale
win rate 48.6%lifetime −$1.24M
fantasy77880x0259…769e$11.0K
sell NO55¢map 107:40:22whale
win rate 40.9%lifetime +$6.9K
darkmarketmaker0x3746…c193$10.4K
NO72¢map 208:06:27smart
win rate 94.3%lifetime +$36.7K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
NO72¢series09:23:54whale
win rate 58.2%lifetime −$1.42M
showing top 200 of 209 by size
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 →
Match markets32 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$1.2Mclosedmap 1Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$752.6Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$650.6Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$936closedseries handicapGame Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$315closedseries handicapGame Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$28.9Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$1closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / 0¢$1closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closed
Team Nemesis 1-2 Natus Vincere · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer