CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · THUNDER dOWNUNDER

THUNDER dOWNUNDER2-0Ground Zero

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 28, 2026 · 09:00–11:06 UTC· 2h 06m· VOD on youtube
Volume
$43.3K
Trades
1,610
Significant
3 ≥ $500
Low · high
85¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
70¢75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢G1 · THUNDER dOWNUND…G1G2 · THUNDER dOWNUND…G285¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 10:13SMART100%100% THUNDER dOWNU…09:0011:06 resolved
smart consensus leaned THUNDE from 09:04 at 85¢ · 100% → 100%
G1THUNDER dOWNUNDER87¢ → 92¢$4.9K
G2THUNDER dOWNUNDER92¢ → 99.9¢$11.8K
Biggest buyers of the winnerTHUNDER dOWNUNDER never traded below 84¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner7 wallets
1Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$11
$292 at 88¢· G1 · 16:05· win rate 61.8%
2cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$40
$260 at 87¢· G2 · 52:44· win rate 60.4%
3poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$36
$246 at 87¢· G2 · 26:39· win rate 47.5%
4calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$13
$238 at 89¢· G2 · 51:34· win rate 54.5%
5edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail+$21
$172 at 88¢· G2 · 26:39· win rate 43.7%
6BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$20
$126 at 86¢· G2 · 26:39· win rate 56.4%
7Colala0x9cb3…1367smart+$19
$102 at 85¢· G2 · 52:54· win rate 56.2%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 3 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($2.8K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 80 wallets
Top winners
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$40
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$36
edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail+$21
BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$20
Colala0x9cb3…1367smart+$19
Top losers
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$737
DegenAcc30x94d2…cfbdretail−$15
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail−$8
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail−$8
RadioFreeZerg0x5210…bd53retail−$7
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Divinev, Rev0lt3, Shawnyou, solaenge +4
Smart consensus · at resolution19 wallets
100%YES THUNDER dOWNUNDER · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$13.5K
NO capital
$1.4K
Hedged
$1.9K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 3 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
All 3 significant trades came after the market was already priced as decided (outside 5–95¢) — listed under Settlement below.
Match markets12 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
THUNDER dOWNUNDER 2-0 Ground Zero · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer