CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · FlyQuest

FlyQuest2-0THUNDER dOWNUNDER

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 29, 2026 · 09:00–10:45 UTC· 1h 45m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$79.3K
Trades
1,430
Significant
12 ≥ $559
Low · high
86¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = FlyQuest · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢G1 · FlyQuestG1G2 · FlyQuestG286¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 09:20SMART100%100% FlyQuest09:0010:45 resolved
smart consensus leaned FLY from 09:01 at 91¢ · 100% → 100%
G1FlyQuest90¢ → 97¢$1.3K
G2FlyQuest97¢ → 99¢$34.2K
Biggest buyers of the winnerFlyQuest never traded below 86¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner5 wallets
1xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$53
$257 at 83¢· pre-match · 16h 8m before· win rate 56.5%
2a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$5
$205 at 93¢· pre-match · 16h 54m before· win rate 33.4%
3Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$5
$154 at 93¢· G1 · 00:47· win rate 62.6%
4Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$4
$104 at 94¢· G1 · 28:30· win rate 52.6%
5calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$3
$103 at 94¢· G2 · 15:56· win rate 54.4%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 2 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($1.4K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 40 wallets
Top winners
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$53
Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$12
RadioFreeZerg0x5210…bd53retail+$10
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$7
a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$5
Top losers
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$780
rocky420140xbb9f…557bretail−$28
DegenAcc30x94d2…cfbdretail−$7
Jimmyman1320xf1ee…519cretail−$6
Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail−$3
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): no1dodgersfan, 600to100000, chorty, antec +4
Smart consensus · at resolution23 wallets
100%YES FlyQuest · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$11.3K
NO capital
$1.2K
Hedged
$3.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 12 TRADES ≥ $559 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$2.1K
YES84¢map 209:49:34smart
win rate 57.9%lifetime +$244.6K
chasing500k0xa80c…5a6d$1.2K
YES83¢map 210:07:17smart
win rate 69.7%lifetime +$4.6K
chasing500k0xa80c…5a6d$1.1K
YES80¢map 210:06:59smart
win rate 69.7%lifetime +$4.6K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.0K
YES67¢map 210:11:03smart
win rate 57.9%lifetime +$244.6K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$943
YES74¢map 210:11:52smart
win rate 57.9%lifetime +$244.6K
467j6yj0xd487…053e$884
YES92¢map 210:33:34farmer
win rate 97.2%lifetime +$121.9K
chasing500k0xa80c…5a6d$876
YES83¢map 210:08:22smart
win rate 69.7%lifetime +$4.6K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$770
YES82¢map 209:43:31smart
win rate 57.9%lifetime +$244.6K
Match markets12 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
FlyQuest 2-0 THUNDER dOWNUNDER · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer