CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · FlyQuest

FlyQuest2-0THUNDER dOWNUNDER

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 27, 2026 · 09:25–10:50 UTC· 1h 25m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$26.9K
Trades
640
Significant
3 ≥ $500
Low · high
91¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = FlyQuest · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢G1 · FlyQuestG1G2 · FlyQuestG287¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 09:33SMART96%97% FlyQuest09:2510:50 resolved
smart consensus leaned FLY from 09:01 at 90¢ · 96% → 97%
G1FlyQuest87¢ → 97¢$245
G2FlyQuest97¢ → 99.9¢$9.6K
Biggest buyers of the winnerFlyQuest never traded below 84¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner5 wallets
1xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$188
$855 at 82¢· pre-match · 8h 59m before· win rate 56.4%
2vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$77
$330 at 81¢· pre-match · 5h 7m before· win rate 52.5%
3antec0x8935…7daaretail+$17
$262 at 93¢· pre-match · 8h 59m before· win rate 50.4%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$2
$147 at 90¢· pre-match · 9h 53m before· win rate 27.3%
$128 at 91¢· pre-match · 14m before· win rate 61.6%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($2.0K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 56 wallets
Top winners
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$188
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$77
demo2580xeebb…0b96retail+$52
Reapex0x0ad3…e50bsmart+$22
antec0x8935…7daaretail+$17
Top losers
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot−$344
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail−$51
printstudio0x8b00…3d66retail−$5
retot0x9473…cba4retail−$5
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail−$4
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): buigiaanfb1, TsepeshV, gbby123, q136084 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution22 wallets
97%YES FlyQuest · the winner· from 96% at match start
YES capital
$5.7K
NO capital
$892
Hedged
$2.7K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 3 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.2K
YES91¢map 210:21:33smart
win rate 58.1%lifetime +$207.5K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.1K
YES91¢map 210:21:52smart
win rate 58.1%lifetime +$207.5K
Match markets9 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
FlyQuest 2-0 THUNDER dOWNUNDER · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer