CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Marsborne

regain0-2Marsborne

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 29, 2026 · 01:10–02:30 UTC· 1h 20m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$28.0K
Trades
1,310
Significant
6 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 14¢
Price path · full matchYES = regain · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢30¢G1 · MarsborneG1G2 · MarsborneG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 01:50SMART100%99% Marsborne01:1002:30 resolved
smart consensus leaned MARS from 01:00 at 83¢ · 100% → 99%
G1Marsborne18¢ → 8¢$1.1K
G2Marsborne8¢ → 0.1¢$7.3K
Biggest buyers of the winnerMarsborne never traded below 79¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner3 wallets
1a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$1
$210 at 88¢· pre-match · 3h 26m before· win rate 29.1%
2Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$17
$163 at 90¢· G1 · 08:51· win rate 61.9%
3InAirdropWeTrust0xd3e7…bf64retail−$6
$109 at 91¢· G1 · 14:34· win rate 53.4%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 3 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($1.1K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 46 wallets
Top winners
Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$17
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$8
Loveb0x650e…bea4retail+$5
retot0x9473…cba4retail+$4
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$3
Top losers
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$23
nascent11345130x4f87…f04esmart−$18
DegenAcc30x94d2…cfbdretail−$7
InAirdropWeTrust0xd3e7…bf64retail−$6
RadioFreeZerg0x5210…bd53retail−$3
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Jimmyman132, bravewarriorrrrrr, Outstanding-Signet-Rod, user0000000 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution15 wallets
99%NO Marsborne · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$618
NO capital
$6.4K
Hedged
$3.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 6 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
NO85¢map 202:16:58retail
win rate 45.9%lifetime +$38.6K
Harekrishna6660xfc24…27f1$500
NO88¢map 202:18:18retail
win rate 44.0%lifetime −$39.6K
Match markets9 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
regain 0-2 Marsborne · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer