CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Marsborne

Marsborne2-0Detonate

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 27, 2026 · 01:10–02:21 UTC· 1h 11m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$60.8K
Trades
430
Significant
3 ≥ $679
Low · high
85¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Marsborne · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
70¢75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢G1 · MarsborneG1G2 · MarsborneG283¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 01:49SMART22%37% Marsborne01:1002:21 resolved
smart consensus 22% → 37% YES
G1Marsborne87¢ → 93¢$610
G2Marsborne93¢ → 99.9¢$2.4K
Biggest buyers of the winnerMarsborne never traded below 77¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner12 wallets
1xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$460
$855 at 65¢· pre-match · 13h 44m before· win rate 56.4%
2Awkward-Blocker0x9c3c…e8c9retail+$686
$774 at 53¢· pre-match · 5h 53m before· win rate 51.7%
3bruttoenjoyer0xfb67…fd46smart+$246
$473 at 50¢· pre-match · 11h 39m before· win rate 74.3%
4johnylittlegon0x6a3c…f2d9smart−$223
$463 at 82¢· pre-match · 34m before· win rate 62.7%
5Starlord20x7576…54b6retail+$406
$390 at 51¢· pre-match · 10h 56m before· win rate 50.0%
6a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$2
$318 at 71¢· pre-match · 13h 44m before· win rate 27.3%
7froglover0x6891…6bb9retail+$6
$154 at 59¢· pre-match · 13h 44m before· win rate 7.0%
8GC-C0xb2da…ce6asmart+$39
$152 at 80¢· pre-match · 2h 56m before· win rate 62.1%
9test420690x88ca…2efbretail+$78
$122 at 61¢· pre-match · 13h 50m before· win rate 49.8%
10topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$48
$111 at 64¢· pre-match · 6h 42m before· win rate 41.0%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 2 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($2.8K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 111 wallets
Top winners
Awkward-Blocker0x9c3c…e8c9retail+$686
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$460
Starlord20x7576…54b6retail+$406
bruttoenjoyer0xfb67…fd46smart+$246
0x8f15…7691retail+$85
Top losers
Aleks1000x1d68…4354smart−$1.7K
johnylittlegon0x6a3c…f2d9smart−$223
Guba320x4c50…ad84retail−$200
GOLDCRYPT120xf20b…e27dretail−$120
inutcream0xd84d…cc32smart−$119
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Doomsday77, Every-Cradle, eduxa1337, jessy2 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution48 wallets
37%YES Marsborne · the winner· from 22% at match start
YES capital
$25.2K
NO capital
$18.8K
Hedged
$11.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 3 TRADES ≥ $679 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864$731
sell YES73¢map 200:19:30hedger
win rate 47.8%lifetime −$55.1K
Match markets15 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Marsborne 2-0 Detonate · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer