CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Marsborne

FarmVille0-2Marsborne

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 28, 2026 · 01:10–03:08 UTC· 1h 58m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$19.3K
Trades
950
Significant
3 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 30¢
Price path · full matchYES = FarmVille · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢G1 · MarsborneG1G2 · MarsborneG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 02:48$1.1K NO · Anson41SMART100%100% Marsborne01:1003:08 resolved
smart consensus leaned MARS from 01:02 at 84¢ · 100% → 100%
G1Marsborne19¢ → 9¢$1.6K
G2Marsborne9¢ → 0.1¢$2.3K
Biggest buyers of the winnerMarsborne never traded below 69¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner9 wallets
1Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmartwhale+$47
$444 at 82¢· G1 · 04:13· win rate 62.7%
2a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$1
$330 at 86¢· pre-match · 1h 40m before· win rate 35.4%
3antec0x8935…7daaretail−$51
$308 at 89¢· pre-match · 1h 37m before· win rate 50.6%
4Outstanding-Signet-Rod0xfe97…361eretail+$49
$209 at 81¢· pre-match · 24m before· win rate 77.5%
5xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$57
$202 at 78¢· pre-match · 1h 37m before· win rate 56.5%
6calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail−$13
$193 at 74¢· G1 · 20:49· win rate 54.1%
7chenpinganaa0xaf6f…9f0aretail+$36
$115 at 76¢· G1 · 39:05· win rate 51.7%
8Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$1
$112 at 86¢· G1 · 25:13· win rate 53.1%
9jzzck1120x125a…df71retail+$1
$107 at 85¢· pre-match · 3h 13m before· win rate 42.8%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 3 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($2.6K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 61 wallets
Top winners
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$57
Outstanding-Signet-Rod0xfe97…361eretail+$49
Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmartwhale+$47
chenpinganaa0xaf6f…9f0aretail+$36
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$12
Top losers
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$51
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$43
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail−$13
nascent11345130x4f87…f04esmart−$10
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot−$7
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Anson41, wofole, rhl666, r6wr +4
Smart consensus · at resolution14 wallets
100%NO Marsborne · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$997
NO capital
$6.2K
Hedged
$3.7K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 3 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Anson410x44cc…038d$1.1K
NO90¢series02:24:03smart
win rate 55.1%lifetime +$16.9K
Anson410x44cc…038d$1.0K
NO92¢series02:27:30smart
win rate 55.1%lifetime +$16.9K
Match markets9 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
FarmVille 0-2 Marsborne · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer