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CS2ESL Pro League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · MOUZ

MOUZ2-1Spirit

ESL Pro League · Playoffs· Oct 10, 2026 · 17:45–20:47 UTC· 3h 02m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$6.3M
Trades
18,450
Significant
123 ≥ $3,072
Low · high
16¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = MOUZ · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · MOUZG1G2 · SpiritG2G3 · MOUZG316¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 20:46$51.1K YES · NeverLoseBet$45.8K YES · Substantial-Service$42.4K YES · Favorable-Pepper-Brushing$25.9K YES · Impressionable-Production-Scarf$24.4K YES · Diabolical-Prize$13.2K YES · hurricanSMART8%16% MOUZ17:4520:47 resolved
smart consensus 7% → 16% YES
G1MOUZ41¢ → 73¢$413.4K
G2Spirit73¢ → 44¢$437.2K
G3MOUZ44¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first31
WALL EATEN42¢ · $148.7K ask wall gone in 2s$75.3K eaten · $55.1K pulled · $18.3K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:eschaworldchampion2026whale+2 more on the same level· 92% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· qiu3 $74.9K· +1 more· 4 fills
WALL EATEN43¢ · $108.5K ask wall gone instantly$54.6K eaten · $39.5K pulled · $14.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:eschaworldchampion2026whale+1 more on the same level· 97% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· omnibus-076daa $54.6K· 2 fills
WALL EATEN33¢ · $93.3K bid wall gone in 15s$93.3K eatenhandicap
Maker revealed by fills:Noprajskwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Substantial-Service $90.0K· Nooserac $3.3K· +1 more· 3 fills
WALL EATEN44¢ · $58.4K ask wall gone instantly$47.3K eaten · $13.1K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:eschaworldchampion2026whale+2 more on the same level· 86% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $47.3K· 5 fills
WALL EATEN69¢ · $47.2K ask wall gone in 18s$20.6K eaten · $26.6K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Noprajskwhale+5 more on the same level· 99% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Substantial-Service $20.6K· +1 more· 8 fills
WALL EATEN43¢ · $37.9K bid wall gone in 45s$13.8K eaten · $14.4K pulled · $9.7K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:HMLSFhedger+2 more on the same level· 59% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· omnibus-076daa $8.8K· forgenes $2.6K· sckak $1.3K· +22 more· 27 fills
Who entered before the reversalMOUZ last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 68:33 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L46 wallets
1black-rabbit0xb6ce…7a7dretail+$6.3K
$16.1K at 42¢· G3 · 17:59· win rate 54.8%
2white-rabbit0x82dc…5700retail+$6.3K
$13.6K at 45¢· G3 · 34:41· win rate 53.6%
3ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$6.2K
$28.5K at 50¢· G1 · 01:06· win rate 47.4%
4pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart+$3.3K
$47.0K at 48¢· G1 · 00:18· win rate 57.9%
5Muddy-Noodles0x4de7…1982retail+$3.0K
$2.0K at 40¢· G1 · 00:27· win rate 43.6%
6Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$3.0K
$80.9K at 52¢· G1 · 05:25· win rate 62.6%
7team-silence0xe793…7c81retail+$1.8K
$2.8K at 45¢· G3 · 17:44· win rate 50.6%
8antec0x8935…7daaretail+$1.3K
$24.7K at 55¢· G3 · 20:44· win rate 50.5%
9ce1lvc9ew660xf8b8…ef79smart+$1.2K
$5.9K at 42¢· G3 · 44:34· win rate 83.1%
10Limping-Colt0x215a…7275retail+$750
$250 at 25¢· G3 · 63:48· win rate 38.8%
Reversal = last time MOUZ traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 68:33). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 451 wallets
Top winners
monkeyfish690xac75…1319retail+$11.8K
black-rabbit0xb6ce…7a7dretail+$6.3K
white-rabbit0x82dc…5700retail+$6.3K
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$6.2K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$5.9K
Top losers
eschaworldchampion20260x7b6c…6305whale−$228.0K
0x3eb3…6a2awhale−$148.9K
TheVeteran770x6304…e570retail−$23.2K
forsenxd0x0286…f61dretail−$13.6K
YEEES-but-why0x9052…3c2dretail−$12.7K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): TommyLeePeeca, testBruno2, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, El-Toque-De-Midas +4
Smart consensus · at resolution375 wallets
16%YES MOUZ · the winner· from 7% at match start
YES capital
$1.83M
NO capital
$1.85M
Hedged
$306.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 123 TRADES ≥ $3,072 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$182.7K
NO67¢handicap16:24:54whale
win rate 54.5%lifetime +$4.75M
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747$73.6K
NO69¢handicap16:59:03whale
win rate 53.6%lifetime +$599.6K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$73.3K
sell NO58¢series17:15:50whale
win rate 40.8%lifetime +$74.2K
qiu30x7f73…14f1$69.6K
sell NO58¢series17:17:07whale
win rate 60.5%lifetime −$371.3K
Gulvisa80xa1f4…9681$65.9K
NO59¢series16:52:04smartwhale
win rate 69.6%lifetime +$19.7K
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$59.0K
NO59¢series16:59:42whale
win rate 54.5%lifetime +$4.75M
omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c$53.0K
sell NO57¢series17:26:55whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$4.94M
fantasy77880x0259…769e$51.6K
YES44¢series17:26:58whale
win rate 38.1%lifetime +$209.2K
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Match markets28 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$3.9Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$864.2Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$859.0Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$38.6Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$655.8Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$340closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$10closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$6.2Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$561closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50¢ / 100¢$10closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$523closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.518¢ / 82¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$3.5Kclosedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5— / —$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$196closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$102closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs MOUZ (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$54closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs Spirit (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$15closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs Spirit (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$15closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$1.2Kclosedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$25closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs MOUZ (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs MOUZ (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$548closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)42¢ / 58¢$5closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs MOUZ (+6.5)42¢ / 58¢$5closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs Spirit (+6.5)43¢ / 57¢$0closed