Substantial-Service · Polymarket wallet 0x2c33…0563

+$4,925,112 lifetime P&L · 54.4% win rate · 11,039 resolved markets · 0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a0563

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Wallet snapshot

Substantial-Service has made 678,265 trades on Polymarket across 11,075 markets, $751M in volume. Most of it is in sports (89%). On 10,974 resolved markets the win rate is 54.4%, lifetime P&L +$4.9M. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?No · $72K · 51¢ → 63¢
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No · $63K · 40¢ → 43¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $46K · 86¢ → 83¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $20K · 85¢ → 98¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana ShnaiderYes · $17K · 52¢ → 57¢
Nuggets vs. ClippersNo · $16K · 35¢ → 48¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Yes · $11K · 39¢ → 43¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes · $9,357 · 48¢ → 50¢
Nuggets vs. ClippersYes · $8,386 · 49¢ → 53¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?No · $7,904 · 60¢ → 57¢

Latest closed positions

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?Yes · +$25K · Oct 14, 2026
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?No · +$1,241 · Oct 14, 2026
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No · +$1,012 · Oct 14, 2026
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?Yes · +$728 · Oct 14, 2026
Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No · +$2,586 · Oct 14, 2026
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)No · +$18K · Oct 14, 2026
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?Yes · +$278K · Oct 14, 2026

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