CS2ESL Pro League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Vitality

Aurora Gaming1-2Vitality

ESL Pro League · Playoffs· Oct 10, 2026 · 13:45–16:48 UTC· 3h 03m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$4.4M
Trades
12,338
Significant
100 ≥ $5,304
Low · high
0.1¢ → 55¢
Price path · full matchYES = Aurora Gaming · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢G1 · Aurora GamingG1G2 · VitalityG2G3 · VitalityG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 16:32$49.8K NO · Substantial-Service$43.0K NO · juice-fruit$37.9K NO · Noprajsk$35.6K NO · Nooserac$34.4K NO · ethBELIVER$32.6K NO · Favorable-Pepper-BrushingSMART98%71% Vitality13:4516:48 resolved
smart consensus leaned VIT from G3 at 71¢ · 98% → 71%
G1Aurora Gaming20¢ → 47¢$420.8K
G2Vitality47¢ → 28¢$315.1K
G3Vitality28¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first22
WALL EATEN46¢ · $49.1K bid wall gone instantly$15.1K eaten · $33.4K pulledhandicap
Maker revealed by fills:dsasdaashedger+4 more on the same level· 46% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $15.1K· 7 fills
WALL EATEN47¢ · $38.5K ask wall gone in 18s$19.7K eaten · $18.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Harmless-Fatigues+9 more on the same level· 62% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Gulvisa8 $19.7K· +1 more· 12 fills
WALL EATEN48¢ · $34.3K bid wall gone in 4s$19.0K eaten · $8.6K pulled · $6.6K still therehandicap
Maker revealed by fills:forsenxd+10 more on the same level· 46% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· omnibus-076daa $19.0K· +1 more· 15 fills
WALL EATEN47¢ · $25.0K bid wall gone instantly$10.9K eaten · $14.1K pulledhandicap
Maker revealed by fills:GypsyFlattener+17 more on the same level· 22% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $10.9K· 18 fills
WALL EATEN48¢ · $24.9K ask wall gone in 48s$9.6K eaten · $12.1K pulled · $3.2K still therehandicap
Maker revealed by fills:0x9e07…6e49+14 more on the same level· 59% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· meoooow $9.2K· forsenxd $343· +1 more· 24 fills
WALL EATEN47¢ · $23.6K bid wall gone in 21s$12.7K eaten · $7.6K pulled · $3.3K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:aqzfssqkqzbcbr1994hedger+9 more on the same level· 74% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· qiu3 $5.9K· 0xe918…fe86 $4.6K· ivikt $1.9K· +8 more· 20 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Vitality buy ≥ $1K · by time75 wallets
$1.7K at 83¢· pre-match · 21h 33m before· win rate 15.3%
2a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$33
$2.3K at 88¢· pre-match · 21h 33m before· win rate 34.0%
3yakz0xf140…7cd8retail−$100
$1.7K at 76¢· pre-match · 7h 60m before· win rate 50.2%
4antec0x8935…7daaretail+$371
$9.0K at 81¢· pre-match · 7h 60m before· win rate 50.5%
50x3eb3…6a2awhale+$25.8K
$81.4K at 76¢· pre-match · 7h 60m before· win rate unknown
6TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail+$4.8K
$15.2K at 76¢· pre-match · 7h 60m before· win rate 63.5%
7387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail+$73
$2.0K at 81¢· pre-match · 7h 60m before· win rate 50.9%
8nobody2somebody0x8adb…e4f6retail+$1.7K
$5.3K at 76¢· pre-match · 7h 60m before· win rate 51.4%
9oafloaf0x7cb4…00easmart+$3.2K
$10.0K at 76¢· pre-match · 7h 60m before· win rate 70.6%
10ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart+$1.2K
$7.6K at 76¢· pre-match · 7h 60m before· win rate 63.3%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 485 wallets
Top winners
0x3eb3…6a2awhale+$25.8K
Harmless-Fatigues0xe2d0…7bbfretail+$19.7K
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$6.4K
printmon0x168f…6424retail+$6.3K
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7retail+$5.6K
Top losers
eschaworldchampion20260x7b6c…6305whale−$43.2K
dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43smartwhale−$8.4K
Anjun0x4337…8882smartwhale−$5.1K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$4.7K
0x9e07…6e49retail−$3.4K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Noprajsk, suntori, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, HMLSF +4
Smart consensus · at resolution365 wallets
71%NO Vitality · the winner· from 98% at match start
YES capital
$596.4K
NO capital
$1.91M
Hedged
$226.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 100 TRADES ≥ $5,304 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$49.8K
NO89¢series16:21:34whale
win rate 54.5%lifetime +$4.75M
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747$43.0K
NO72¢series15:36:59whale
win rate 53.6%lifetime +$599.6K
Noprajsk0x31e5…4879$37.9K
sell NO91¢series16:29:28whale
win rate 50.0%lifetime +$492.7K
Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b$35.6K
NO89¢series16:21:23whale
win rate 51.2%lifetime +$1.60M
ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1$34.4K
NO86¢series16:26:22retail
win rate 44.4%lifetime +$294.0K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing0x9e3e…f882$32.6K
NO76¢series13:37:00hedgerwhale
win rate 41.9%lifetime −$3.73M
fantasy77880x0259…769e$30.0K
NO54¢handicap13:41:54whale
win rate 38.1%lifetime +$209.2K
Stable-Armament0xf559…f462$30.0K
NO77¢series13:39:41whale
win rate 55.5%lifetime −$476.8K
More from this tournamentESL Pro League 2026 →
Match markets26 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$2.7Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$738.4Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$610.0Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$35.3Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$428.0Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Vitality (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$126closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$4.4Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$761closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$2.9Kclosedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$14.6Kclosedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Vitality (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$1.7Kclosedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$10.9Kclosedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closed