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CS2Stake Ranked · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Luminosity

Luminosity2-1BIG

Stake Ranked · Playoffs· Oct 2, 2026 · 15:25–18:18 UTC· 2h 53m· VOD on kick
Volume
$1.4M
Trades
9,386
Significant
66 ≥ $2,033
Low · high
6¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Luminosity · 1-min VWAP · rings = 5 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · BIGG1G2 · LuminosityG2G3 · LuminosityG36¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 18:17$10.0K YES · fantasy7788$8.1K YES · omnibus-076daa$5.0K YES · aaaa298$4.8K YES · redvinny$4.0K YES · victor1007SMART81%77% Luminosity15:2518:18 resolved
smart consensus leaned LG from 15:04 at 51¢ · 82% → 77%
G1BIG51¢ → 24¢$79.1K
G2Luminosity24¢ → 54¢$116.8K
G3Luminosity54¢ → 99¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first5
WALL EATEN51¢ · $22.3K ask wall gone in 83s$12.2K eaten · $10.2K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:lllllllIlllwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $11.9K· +8 more· 10 fills
WALL EATEN51¢ · $19.3K ask wall gone in 37s$14.2K eaten · $5.2K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:WARNINGWARNINGWARNINGwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· CORGI8 $10.8K· igorkarpowicz $2.9K· truthtrader $296· +3 more· 7 fills
WALL EATEN51¢ · $18.8K ask wall gone in 64s$9.3K eaten · $9.4K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:lllllllIlllwhale+8 more on the same level· 93% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $8.6K· Sherlok-862 $628· +1 more· 13 fills
WALL EATEN50¢ · $10.5K bid wall gone instantly$6.7K eaten · $834 pulled · $3.0K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:fRibrenlcwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· WARNINGWARNINGWARNING $6.7K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN83¢ · $10.2K bid wall gone in 49s$5.1K eaten · $5.2K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:cigaretteshedger+6 more on the same level· 86% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· redvinny $4.7K· Rotating-Creche $137· +9 more· 33 fills
Who entered before the reversalLuminosity last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 62:52 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L38 wallets
1BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$2.1K
$6.5K at 44¢· G1 · 39:40· win rate 65.4%
2RN10x2005…75eawhale+$1.8K
$34.6K at 51¢· G1 · 39:50· win rate 52.4%
3iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$1.5K
$15.0K at 59¢· G1 · 40:18· win rate 58.9%
4Audrii0xfbaf…2a03retail+$1.0K
$289 at 22¢· G2 · 09:08· win rate 34.2%
5Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$506
$9.7K at 49¢· G1 · 15:11· win rate 59.6%
6edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail+$429
$211 at 32¢· G2 · 26:52· win rate 44.6%
7InAirdropWeTrust0xd3e7…bf64whale+$429
$287 at 24¢· G2 · 12:40· win rate 51.6%
8antec0x8935…7daaretail+$90
$1.8K at 51¢· G1 · 39:40· win rate 50.5%
9topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$54
$730 at 55¢· G1 · 39:40· win rate 40.3%
10BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$49
$293 at 51¢· G1 · 39:40· win rate 56.2%
Reversal = last time Luminosity traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 62:52). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 285 wallets
Top winners
fRibrenlc0x6f3e…bcf8whale+$6.7K
YarloslawRouter0x1bcd…0a69retail+$5.0K
keris70x2f62…dd4dsmart+$4.8K
Sodoo0x0d7c…b7dbretail+$2.7K
nobody2somebody0x8adb…e4f6retail+$2.5K
Top losers
Nooserac0xf68a…5b1bwhale−$7.0K
sofa888880xa103…1c14retail−$6.2K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$5.9K
ArturitoFilito0x336b…1233retail−$5.8K
l0wkirkenuinely0x4cb0…57e0smart−$4.3K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, 239393828, BillBenter2026, Glorious-Yak +4
Smart consensus · at resolution146 wallets
77%YES Luminosity · the winner· from 82% at match start
YES capital
$434.1K
NO capital
$417.2K
Hedged
$119.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 66 TRADES ≥ $2,033 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$13.5K
YES51¢series15:13:58whale
win rate 41.1%lifetime +$67.5K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$10.0K
YES51¢series15:26:12whale
win rate 36.5%lifetime −$128.0K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$10.0K
YES51¢series15:25:37whale
win rate 36.5%lifetime −$128.0K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$9.0K
YES51¢series15:26:51whale
win rate 36.5%lifetime −$128.0K
omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c$8.1K
YES53¢series15:23:02whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$4.01M
WARNINGWARNINGWARNING0x5e6e…be00$7.5K
NO50¢series15:07:00whale
win rate 48.4%lifetime +$165.0K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09$6.8K
NO57¢map 216:20:46smart
win rate 55.4%lifetime +$368.9K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$5.0K
YES92¢series18:16:59smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$859.4K
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Match markets28 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$1.2Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$149.8Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$198.1Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$912closedseries handicapMap Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$3.7Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$145closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$1.6Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$4closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$640closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$190closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100¢ / 0¢$52closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-6.5) vs BIG (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs Luminosity (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-6.5) vs BIG (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-9.5) vs BIG (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$240closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-6.5) vs BIG (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closed
Luminosity 2-1 BIG · Stake Ranked · match recap | OrcaLayer