CS2Stake Ranked · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · fnatic

B80-2fnatic

Stake Ranked · Playoffs· Oct 2, 2026 · 10:00–11:48 UTC· 1h 48m· VOD on kick
Volume
$577.3K
Trades
5,034
Significant
51 ≥ $1,836
Low · high
0.1¢ → 67¢
Price path · full matchYES = B8 · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · fnaticG1G2 · fnaticG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 11:47$7.9K YES · JohnLKellyJr$5.0K YES · fantasy7788$4.6K NO · BetsAusmAudimax$3.9K YES · Harmless-Fatigues$3.3K NO · l0wkirkenuinely$2.7K YES · 999999666544332578855667788SMART33%47% fnatic10:0011:48 resolved
smart consensus 67% → 53% YES
G1fnatic62¢ → 41¢$77.5K
G2fnatic41¢ → 1¢$121.1K
Who entered before the reversalfnatic last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 38:53 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L26 wallets
1kingflop0xe954…1ef1retail+$5.8K
$3.0K at 34¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 48.5%
2humbleboy0x4b59…3aa6smart+$5.0K
$2.8K at 36¢· pre-match · 14h 29m before· win rate 55.9%
3xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$1.4K
$810 at 37¢· pre-match · 14h 15m before· win rate 56.4%
4VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart+$1.3K
$680 at 34¢· pre-match · 1m before· win rate 58.1%
5galaktika1230x8ab9…d821retail+$1.3K
$639 at 33¢· pre-match· win rate 51.6%
60x3c79…9003retail+$1.3K
$749 at 37¢· pre-match · 12h 2m before· win rate unknown
7mouzsynapse0xa6de…256cretail+$1.3K
$678 at 35¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 35.8%
8LuckyLoo0x52d9…fb1aretail+$964
$542 at 36¢· pre-match · 20m before· win rate 48.7%
9RN10x2005…75eawhale+$746
$7.5K at 58¢· G1 · 00:04· win rate 52.5%
10Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14smart+$368
$207 at 36¢· pre-match · 1h 45m before· win rate 61.9%
Reversal = last time fnatic traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 38:53). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 181 wallets
Top winners
kingflop0xe954…1ef1retail+$5.8K
humbleboy0x4b59…3aa6smart+$5.0K
iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$2.6K
ColdW0x2765…7ee4smart+$1.7K
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$1.4K
Top losers
9999996665443325788556677880x85fb…89basmart−$5.1K
no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864retail−$2.7K
mimi1210x14af…ca2cwhale−$913
Wagienomics0xc922…2618retail−$781
hasobidale0x8be4…a700smart−$706
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, BACKTESTEOCARAIO1, ameisgoat11, JohnLKellyJr +4
Smart consensus · at resolution62 wallets
47%NO fnatic · the winner· from 33% at match start
YES capital
$106.4K
NO capital
$90.8K
Hedged
$47.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 51 TRADES ≥ $1,836 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
fantasy77880x0259…769e$10.0K
YES66¢map 210:56:18whale
win rate 36.5%lifetime −$128.0K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$7.9K
YES66¢series09:58:42smart
win rate 57.3%lifetime +$203.6K
TrippleEX0x994e…6136$7.2K
YES64¢map 210:55:24retail
win rate 64.7%lifetime −$28.2K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$5.0K
YES42¢series10:56:40whale
win rate 36.5%lifetime −$128.0K
BetsAusmAudimax0x183f…85e3$4.6K
NO58¢series10:45:47retail
win rate 54.1%lifetime +$162.1K
Harmless-Fatigues0xe2d0…7bbf$3.9K
YES42¢series10:42:42retail
win rate 44.3%lifetime +$23.7K
l0wkirkenuinely0x4cb0…57e0$3.3K
NO60¢series10:54:51smart
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$106.2K
Under13450x98a5…28d3$3.3K
sell NO92¢map 110:38:18retail
win rate 54.8%lifetime +$26.7K
Match markets21 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$222.3Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$157.5Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$217.6Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$1.2Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$8.0Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$95closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$360closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.518¢ / 83¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$317closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.515¢ / 85¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$70closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs B8 (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$466closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-6.5) vs fnatic (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
B8 0-2 fnatic · Stake Ranked · match recap | OrcaLayer