CS2Stake Ranked · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Astralis

Astralis2-1BIG

Stake Ranked · Playoffs· Oct 3, 2026 · 10:00–12:45 UTC· 2h 45m· VOD on kick
Volume
$873.9K
Trades
3,898
Significant
39 ≥ $3,675
Low · high
52¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Astralis · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · AstralisG1G2 · BIGG2G3 · AstralisG352¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 12:34$24.6K YES · Lakersfan111$15.8K NO · lllllllIlllSMART6%28% Astralis10:0012:45 resolved
smart consensus 6% → 28% YES
G1Astralis55¢ → 75¢$15.3K
G2BIG75¢ → 55¢$48.5K
G3Astralis55¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first5
WALL EATEN53¢ · $53.0K ask wall gone instantly$26.6K eaten · $26.4K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:lllllllIlllwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $26.6K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN53¢ · $45.2K ask wall gone instantly$40.1K eaten · $5.2K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:lllllllIlllwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· omnibus-076daa $40.1K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN55¢ · $26.6K ask wall gone in 30s$21.5K eaten · $5.0K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:lllllllIlllwhale+5 more on the same level· 73% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $20.1K· nobody2somebody $1.5K· +1 more· 9 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $15.0K bid wall gone instantly$13.7K eaten · $1.3K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Prickly-Effortsmart· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· BrotherObama $13.7K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN54¢ · $10.4K ask wall gone instantly$3.9K eaten · $6.5K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:lllllllIlllwhale+4 more on the same level· 96% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $3.9K· 5 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Astralis buy ≥ $1K · by time20 wallets
1a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$30
$1.6K at 75¢· pre-match · 12h 7m before· win rate 31.5%
2VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart−$0
$1.1K at 55¢· pre-match · 7h 41m before· win rate 58.1%
3antec0x8935…7daaretail+$26
$3.1K at 82¢· pre-match · 5h 45m before· win rate 50.4%
4forsenxd0x0286…f61dretail+$1.4K
$1.7K at 55¢· pre-match · 3h 39m before· win rate 54.3%
5IdentityV0xc5d8…a00bretail+$5.1K
$6.3K at 55¢· pre-match · 3h 34m before· win rate 48.2%
6Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail+$1.6K
$1.9K at 53¢· pre-match · 2h 39m before· win rate 52.1%
7BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail+$1.6K
$1.9K at 53¢· pre-match · 1h 42m before· win rate 49.3%
8RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart+$4.7K
$5.3K at 53¢· pre-match · 1h 42m before· win rate 59.7%
9iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$1.1K
$13.2K at 78¢· G1 · 00:06· win rate 58.5%
10BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart−$215
$3.2K at 69¢· G1 · 09:17· win rate 68.3%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 203 wallets
Top winners
RN10x2005…75eawhale+$5.8K
IdentityV0xc5d8…a00bretail+$5.1K
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart+$4.7K
Xyp9xFan0x2418…66c8retail+$4.1K
Cold-Palms0x689f…259cretail+$2.2K
Top losers
Odzfx0x9770…0ff5retail−$6.9K
Wagienomics0xc922…2618retail−$1.4K
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$1.2K
Zenhack0xff80…9b4dretail−$1.1K
animal.bean0x2a25…8055retail−$460
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, omnibus-076daa, 0xa0f2…1848, suntori +4
Smart consensus · at resolution105 wallets
28%YES Astralis · the winner· from 6% at match start
YES capital
$326.3K
NO capital
$221.9K
Hedged
$177.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 39 TRADES ≥ $3,675 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$24.6K
YES55¢series09:59:04whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime +$1.02M
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$15.8K
NO45¢series09:59:04smartwhale
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$181.4K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$4.1K
NO74¢map 211:46:51smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$826.5K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$4.0K
NO58¢map 211:38:40smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$826.5K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$1.9K
NO95¢map 211:51:24hedgersmart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$826.5K
omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c$1.6K
NO52¢map 210:44:08whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$4.15M
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$1.6K
YES67¢map 211:02:29smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$826.5K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$1.3K
YES37¢map 211:40:51smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$826.5K
Match markets29 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$694.0Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$31.6Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$101.0Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$1.3Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$50.9Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5— / —$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 51¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551¢ / 49¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549¢ / 51¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)36¢ / 64¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs BIG (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs BIG (+9.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-12.5) vs BIG (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)33¢ / 67¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs BIG (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs BIG (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs BIG (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-12.5) vs BIG (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
Astralis 2-1 BIG · Stake Ranked · match recap | OrcaLayer