CS2Stake Ranked · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · fnatic

fnatic2-0Alliance

Stake Ranked · Playoffs· Oct 3, 2026 · 13:00–14:38 UTC· 1h 38m· VOD on kick
Volume
$451.2K
Trades
3,149
Significant
30 ≥ $2,236
Low · high
55¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = fnatic · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · fnaticG1G2 · fnaticG254¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 14:04SMART77%83% fnatic13:0014:38 resolved
smart consensus leaned FNC from G1 at 56¢ · 77% → 83%
G1fnatic55¢ → 76¢$27.3K
G2fnatic76¢ → 99¢$90.7K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first3
WALL EATEN55¢ · $31.8K bid wall gone instantly$16.6K eaten · $14.0K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:simmi01+2 more on the same level· 53% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· BrotherObama $16.6K· 6 fills
WALL EATEN55¢ · $15.5K ask wall gone in 6s$8.0K eaten · $2.9K pulled · $4.6K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale+2 more on the same level· 67% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· YEEES-but-why $7.2K· suzmie $725· 4 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $12.3K ask wall gone instantly$7.5K eaten · $4.8K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· sbsigner $7.5K· 1 fill
Earliest big buyersfirst fnatic buy ≥ $1K · by time10 wallets
1DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1smart+$1.4K
$1.6K at 54¢· pre-match · 12h 56m before· win rate 69.3%
2LucasCosta.0x7786…c005retail+$1.0K
$1.2K at 54¢· pre-match · 2h 37m before· win rate 43.1%
3SharkbetX-com0x2759…2b38whale+$22.7K
$27.3K at 55¢· pre-match · 1h 8m before· win rate 40.5%
4simmi010xb8ba…da22retail+$7.2K
$8.8K at 55¢· pre-match · 39m before· win rate 32.0%
5Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$78
$3.4K at 73¢· pre-match · 27m before· win rate 59.6%
6BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$169
$1.9K at 76¢· G1 · 01:08· win rate 68.3%
7iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$631
$5.9K at 83¢· G1 · 04:05· win rate 58.5%
8RN10x2005…75eawhale+$904
$3.7K at 70¢· G1 · 07:01· win rate 52.5%
9PB2.KALInn0x2ee4…fa88smart+$5
$4.8K at 99.9¢· G2 · 65:15· win rate 90.0%
10ezMerge0x4638…6b0awhalefarmer+$2
$1.8K at 99.9¢· G2 · 82:18· win rate 98.1%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 144 wallets
Top winners
SharkbetX-com0x2759…2b38whale+$22.7K
simmi010xb8ba…da22retail+$7.2K
DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1smart+$1.4K
LucasCosta.0x7786…c005retail+$1.0K
RN10x2005…75eawhale+$904
Top losers
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$3.8K
nobody2somebody0x8adb…e4f6retail−$2.0K
SecritHandLucasAo0xbf3b…0375retail−$379
Specific-Pear-Whirlwind0x7091…96f8retail−$135
0xf84d…8830retail−$135
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, 0xa0f2…1848, oc127, Lakersfan111 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution57 wallets
83%YES fnatic · the winner· from 77% at match start
YES capital
$121.4K
NO capital
$86.6K
Hedged
$18.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 30 TRADES ≥ $2,236 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998$25.0K
NO45¢series12:21:27whale
win rate 40.1%lifetime +$837.2K
sbsigner0x1b47…d814$8.9K
YES54¢series11:45:53retail
win rate 53.2%lifetime +$13.7K
YEEES-but-why0x9052…3c2d$8.9K
YES55¢series11:49:39whale
win rate 45.7%lifetime −$47.3K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$8.6K
NO54¢map 213:37:48smartwhale
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$181.4K
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998$7.0K
NO57¢map 213:42:57whale
win rate 40.1%lifetime +$837.2K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09$6.8K
YES46¢map 213:37:48smart
win rate 55.0%lifetime +$349.1K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$5.2K
NO57¢map 213:43:51whale
win rate 35.5%lifetime −$143.2K
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998$5.0K
NO56¢map 213:40:59whale
win rate 40.1%lifetime +$837.2K
Match markets21 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$231.7Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$47.5Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$186.1Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$415closedseries handicapMap Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$811closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$108closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-12.5) vs Alliance (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
fnatic 2-0 Alliance · Stake Ranked · match recap | OrcaLayer