CS2Stake Ranked · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Astralis

Astralis2-0fnatic

Stake Ranked · Playoffs· Oct 3, 2026 · 17:20–18:44 UTC· 1h 24m· VOD on kick
Volume
$227.4K
Trades
1,596
Significant
45 ≥ $2,416
Low · high
68¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Astralis · 1-min VWAP · rings = 4 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · AstralisG1G2 · AstralisG261¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 18:33$7.8K YES · Wiretransferxyz$5.0K NO · fantasy7788$4.2K YES · RN1$2.5K YES · igorkarpowiczSMART59%65% Astralis17:2018:44 resolved
smart consensus leaned AST from G1 at 67¢ · 59% → 65%
G1Astralis66¢ → 87¢$44.3K
G2Astralis87¢ → 99.9¢$25.5K
Earliest big buyersfirst Astralis buy ≥ $1K · by time4 wallets
1antec0x8935…7daaretail−$22
$1.3K at 97¢· pre-match · 2h 1m before· win rate 50.4%
2Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail+$1.5K
$2.5K at 62¢· pre-match · 1h 35m before· win rate 52.2%
3Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3bretail+$7.8K
$12.2K at 61¢· pre-match · 57m before· win rate 54.9%
4iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$427
$2.6K at 86¢· G2 · 05:07· win rate 58.8%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 61 wallets
Top winners
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3bretail+$7.8K
Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail+$1.5K
iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$427
astapzippo0x66b1…340fretail+$287
InAirdropWeTrust0xd3e7…bf64whale+$156
Top losers
monkeyfish690xac75…1319retail−$3.8K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$3.1K
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$936
backbox0xc0f1…8680retail−$422
Specific-Pear-Whirlwind0x7091…96f8retail−$114
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): lllllllIlll, RN1, Satanishippie, Toujourner +4
Smart consensus · at resolution48 wallets
65%YES Astralis · the winner· from 59% at match start
YES capital
$60.9K
NO capital
$32.6K
Hedged
$33.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 45 TRADES ≥ $2,416 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3b$7.8K
YES61¢series17:15:51smart
win rate 55.1%lifetime +$673.9K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$5.0K
NO39¢series17:15:51whale
win rate 35.5%lifetime −$143.2K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$4.8K
NO46¢map 117:15:49whale
win rate 35.5%lifetime −$143.2K
RN10x2005…75ea$4.2K
YES63¢series17:16:58whale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.04M
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6c$4.1K
NO63¢handicap17:17:01smart
win rate 56.7%lifetime +$1.56M
igorkarpowicz0xe888…0364$2.5K
YES72¢series17:21:25retail
win rate 30.3%lifetime −$14.9K
RN10x2005…75ea$2.4K
YES37¢handicap17:17:01whale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.04M
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$2.2K
YES63¢map 218:17:02smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$826.5K
Match markets22 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$109.5Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$66.5Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$46.0Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$315closedseries handicapMap Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$12.8Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$16closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs fnatic (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-12.5) vs fnatic (+12.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$11closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs fnatic (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-12.5) vs fnatic (+12.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$90closed
Astralis 2-0 fnatic · Stake Ranked · match recap | OrcaLayer