CS2Stake Ranked · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Astralis

Luminosity1-2Astralis

Stake Ranked · Playoffs· Oct 4, 2026 · 12:00–14:48 UTC· 2h 48m· VOD on kick
Volume
$657.1K
Trades
5,683
Significant
59 ≥ $1,521
Low · high
0.1¢ → 68¢
Price path · full matchYES = Luminosity · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · LuminosityG1G2 · AstralisG2G3 · AstralisG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 14:27SMART55%69% Astralis12:0014:48 resolved
smart consensus leaned AST from G3 at 57¢ · 55% → 69%
G1Luminosity37¢ → 63¢$40.3K
G2Astralis63¢ → 42¢$68.5K
G3Astralis42¢ → 0.1¢—
Who entered before the reversalAstralis last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 40:32 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L10 wallets
1RN10x2005…75eawhale+$7.3K
$22.0K at 57¢· G2 · 05:53· win rate 52.4%
2HFT-PRO0xf1f2…8c8dretail+$191
$685 at 61¢· G2 · 05:53· win rate 49.1%
3sentrio0xdb83…1e50retail+$190
$183 at 43¢· G2 · 05:53· win rate 51.3%
4BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$185
$2.0K at 63¢· G2 · 17:37· win rate 67.0%
5antec0x8935…7daaretail+$94
$2.6K at 84¢· G1 · 50:20· win rate 50.4%
6a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$21
$3.1K at 72¢· G2 · 11:34· win rate 31.9%
7Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$20
$909 at 69¢· G2 · 05:53· win rate 52.4%
$749 at 68¢· G2 · 07:03· win rate 11.0%
9Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart−$15
$5.8K at 64¢· G1 · 50:20· win rate 59.6%
10ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$989
$1.3K at 67¢· G2 · 15:51· win rate 47.5%
Reversal = last time Astralis traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 40:32). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 218 wallets
Top winners
RN10x2005…75eawhale+$7.3K
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart+$4.0K
iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$1.9K
BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail+$1.6K
Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail+$1.6K
Top losers
Anjun0x4337…8882smart−$8.7K
fRibrenlc0x6f3e…bcf8whale−$4.9K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09retail−$4.8K
ColdW0x2765…7ee4smart−$1.9K
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$989
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, omnibus-076daa, suntori, igorkarpowicz +4
Smart consensus · at resolution121 wallets
69%NO Astralis · the winner· from 55% at match start
YES capital
$148.2K
NO capital
$245.0K
Hedged
$55.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 59 TRADES ≥ $1,521 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
RN10x2005…75ea$2.0K
NO68¢handicap12:39:41whale
win rate 52.4%lifetime +$12.01M
RN10x2005…75ea$2.0K
NO67¢handicap12:39:44whale
win rate 52.4%lifetime +$12.01M
Quick-Slippers0xa413…6c4a$1.8K
NO53¢map 213:06:50smart
win rate 56.7%lifetime +$84.0K
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6c$1.6K
NO66¢handicap11:14:23smart
win rate 56.7%lifetime +$1.51M
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$1.5K
NO93¢map 213:38:08smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$854.1K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$1.5K
NO81¢map 112:29:12hedgersmart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$854.1K
BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14$1.4K
sell NO64¢map 213:06:38hedgersmart
win rate 67.0%lifetime +$68.6K
iii2520xed44…4f76$1.3K
NO93¢map 213:33:27smart
win rate 58.8%lifetime +$228.2K
Match markets30 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$450.1Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$73.0Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$105.1Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$5.2Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$20closedseries handicapMap Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$25.6Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$20closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.59¢ / 91¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Luminosity (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs Luminosity (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$49closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Luminosity (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs Luminosity (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)9¢ / 91¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Luminosity (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs Luminosity (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-12.5) vs Luminosity (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
Luminosity 1-2 Astralis · Stake Ranked · match recap | OrcaLayer