Polymarket wallet 0xfdc3…603c

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xfdc3…603c has made 134 trades on Polymarket across 131 markets, $175 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (17%) and crypto (12%). On 124 resolved markets the win rate is 58.9%, lifetime P&L +$19. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?No · $2 · 41¢ → 92¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 100¢
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 9?Yes · $1 · 72¢ → 82¢
• Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?No · $1 · 71¢ → 74¢
• Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?Yes · $1 · 79¢ → 82¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?Yes · $1 · 47¢ → 47¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 61¢ → 55¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?No · +$3 · Nov 7, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?Yes · +$1 · Nov 7, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?No · -$1 · Nov 7, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 6?No · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?No · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?Yes · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.