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SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$31.7K
466 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 101 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs12 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 62%· net of hedges
+60 new YES$21.7K+72 new NO$15.3K
$10.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 30 buyers — left out of momentum
19 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 43% of the money is not a bet
$470 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $417·NO $211
YES Team
Total Invested
$652
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$487(+74.8%)
Whales
15
F
Frail-Item🥇hedged
Entry 41¢·781.6 shares·also $235 on NO
+$455INV $320 · WR 79.0%
W
wagonwheel🥈
Entry 94¢·183.4 shares
+$10INV $172 · WR 64.3%
G
grasstoucher69🥉
Entry 94¢·91.2 shares
+$5INV $86 · WR 56.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 99¢·47.2 shares
+$0INV $47 · WR 68.9%
C
conormurphy
Entry 99¢·10 shares
+$0INV $10 · WR 92.8%
S
Serpentine-Altar
Entry 94¢·5.3 shares
+$0INV $5 · WR 81.1%
P
P4UL92
Entry 99¢·3 shares
—INV $3 · WR 90.9%
1
0x159b14a2...
Entry 27¢·3.8 shares
+$3INV $1 · WR 64.9%
F
0xfdc36aec...
Entry 36¢·2.9 shares
+$2INV $1 · WR 58.4%
2
0x2801c564...
Entry 23¢·4.5 shares
+$3INV $1 · WR 58.3%
Showing top 10 of 15

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 57% YES: SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4